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Displaying posts from 2009 (Clear Search) Thursday, August 6th, 2009
How to Permanently Fix U.S. Health CareBy Paul Zane Pilzer
I just put up a post at Clarifying Health, my health care blog. In it, I explain what I think is the main problem with U.S. health care and how we can fix it.
You can read the post by clicking this link. Monday, August 10th, 2009
The Great Crash of 2008-2009 - What Really Happened?By Paul Zane Pilzer
The failure by many businesses to keep up with their customers needs has created an unprecedented opportunity for entrepreneurs
This blog post is adapted from The Entrepreneurial Challenge. Many people blame today’s financial crisis on Wall Street. However, once the crisis had begun, the crash on Main Street was caused by consumers realizing the emperor had no clothes—that many of the products and services they were buying were simply not worth their cost. The same house that sold for $250,000 in 1999, which was nine years older in 2008, was not worth $450,000 in 2008—even though many homebuyers were willing to pay that much for it, due to easy credit and a fear that prices would keep rising. A new car with the same features as last year’s model did not justify an annual price increase, especially in the summer of 2008, when gasoline reached $5 per gallon and consumers wanted more fuel-efficient vehicles. And no mass-produced handbag was really worth $10,000 or more.When consumers rebelled in 2008 against paying more for the same or less, businesses were forced to cut their costs. Employers worldwide laid off millions of employees and blamed it on the recession. In the 20th century, America grew to become the world’s greatest economy because of entrepreneurial innovations. From Henry Ford (cars) to Abraham Levitt (homes) to Steve Jobs (iPods, iPhones), entrepreneurs created new products and services so compelling that consumers had to have them. Americans wanted to work harder than ever to purchase items that hadn’t even existed when they were born. Moreover, each of these new products or services created entire industries of support products, such as gas stations, restaurants, furnishings, cell phones, etc.
American Innovation Stagnated from 1999 to 2008 Much of the innovation that defined the American experience from 1776-2000 stagnated during the past 10 years. This decade of innovation stagnation has created the greatest economic opportunity in history for entrepreneurs today because there are so many ready-to-be-implemented advances in virtually every sector of our economy. The greatest personal fortunes of 2020 are about to be created by entrepreneurs who either lower the price of existing products or introduce new products and services to our economy. But sadly, this great innovation that had defined the American experience stagnated over the past 10 years. Between 1999 and 2008, U.S. economic output, as measured by gross domestic product, increased by a whopping 65 percent, from $8.7 trillion to $14.3 trillion. Meanwhile, the U.S. population during this same period increased by only 10 percent, from 273 million to 303 million. This resulted in an enormous increase in consumer disposable income from wages and increasing investment income. Traditionally, when economic output increases faster than population, consumer lifestyle improves. Consumers purchase more and better automobiles, new electronics like cell phones and personal computers, and larger and better homes. But with the exception of a few bright spots, such as the more than $500 billion wellness industry, consumer lifestyle did not improve much in the decade before the great crash of 2008-2009. The average price of a new automobile in the United States rose 40 percent, from about $20,000 in 1999 to $28,000 in 2008, without any significant increase in quality, performance or features. In the all-important area of fuel efficiency, performance actually declined from 17 to 16 miles per gallon in these years, after having increased consistently every year before 1998 from 12 mpg in 1975 to 17 mpg in 1997. I vividly remember each new automobile my father bought in the 1960s and why it was superior to the car it replaced. Air conditioning, automatic transmission, power windows, seat belts—the list goes on and on for the compelling new features that came out with each model year. Or, if you didn’t purchase a new car for a new feature, you purchased a new car because it cost less—it actually saved you money over the cost of maintaining your existing vehicle. Today, there hasn’t been a new feature introduced in years that makes a compelling reason to purchase a new car. Detroit killed its own business by failing to make cars that consumers wanted for either utility or economic reasons. For example, if Detroit had offered a 100-mpg car in the summer of 2008 when gas hit $5 a gallon, there may never have been a crash, due to tens of millions of consumers trading in their cars for more environmentally friendly and fuel-efficient models. What really caused the Great Crash of 2008-2009 When we look closely at what happened in the period leading up to 2008-2009, with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight, we see the decline in consumer purchasing and the resultant unemployment were caused by the inability of manybusinesses from 1999 to 2008 to keep up with their customers in an expanding economy by providing new or improved products and services. This caused consumers to spend money on the same products and services, bidding up the prices among themselves beyond their true value, rather than spending money on things like wellness, better cars or better housing that would improve their lives. But more significantly, this failure by many businesses to keep up with their customers’ needs created an unprecedented opportunity today for entrepreneurs and intrapreneurs (those who use entrepreneurial skills within an existing organization) to start new businesses that provide real value-added products and services to consumers and businesses. There was already a backlog of what I term Ready-to-be-Implemented-Technological advances (RITs) before the great crash of 2008, and the need to implement them and retool our economy is now greater than ever. As we assimilate the events that led to the Great Crash of 2008-2009, as well as where we are now, it’s clear there is no better time to step up and be the entrepreneur or intrapreneur who has enough vision and courage to give consumers what they really want: innovative new products and services that will improve their lives. For entrepreneurs today, the last decade of innovation stagnation has created the greatest economic opportunity in history because there are so many ready-to-be-implemented advances in virtually every sector of our economy. The greatest personal fortunes of 2020 are about to be created by entrepreneurs who either lower the price of existing products or introduce new products and services to our economy. Friday, August 14th, 2009
Welcome to The Entrepreneurial Challenge!By Paul Zane Pilzer
I'm Paul Zane Pilzer - author, economist, professor and entrepreneur.
Welcome to my new blog where I'm hoping to build an involved community of entrepreneurs, particularly entrepreneurs interested in improving our world through social entrepreneurship. This blog was inspired by a program that I recently created called The Entrepreneurial Challenge. It's a 6 CD audio series with a workbook of entrepreneurial exercises. Some of the content on this blog will be based on my message from The Entrepreneurial Challenge and my 9 books, but I'm hoping that most of the content comes from you, the reader. So if you're interested in starting your own business or growing your existing business, I hope you return to this site again and again and join the discussion. This site won't work without you sharing your comments and experiences, so please don't hold back. Monday, August 17th, 2009
Fixing the World - What's the Right Business for YouBy Paul Zane Pilzer
The Great Crash of 2008-2009 has created a great opportunity for entrepreneurs today.
This is because: 1. The crash was caused by a stagnation in innovation from 1999-2008 - which caused consumers to bid up the price of existing same-old-same-old products and services instead of receiving new, better and less expensive products and services. For more on this, see my previous blog entry or my article in the September 2009 issue of Success Magazine. 2. The crash itself caused an even further stagnation in innovation as businesses cut costs everywhere and people delayed expanding or starting new businesses. Now, there is a large backlog of better methods ready to be implemented in almost every industry--from restaurants to automobiles to housing. I call these better methods RITs, or "ready to be implemented technological advances." So, you may be asking, what specific RITs should I focus on now and which business should I start or expand? Great question. The answer is different for each individual, based primarily on "what you know" and "who you know." To get started, I encourage you to consider what advantages you already have. Figure out what industries you already have expertise with, and who you know that might be able to help your new business as either a partner, investor, or client. Your contacts and experience should act as your foundation for the entire entrepreneurial process.
Thursday, September 3rd, 2009
Making Sure You are in the Right BusinessBy Paul Zane Pilzer
Is Your Business Right For You? Ask Yourself: • Are you passionate and excited about your business? • Do you feel torn between family time and business time? (It’s a good sign.) • Do you often talk about ways to make your business, product or service better? • Would you buy your own product or service? Life is simply too short to be doing something you don't like doing. This is particularly true when it comes to your job or business, since most of us spend the majority of our waking hours at work. But how can you find out if you are in the right business? This is actually fairly easy to determine. The bigger and more difficult question, if you determine you are in the wrong business, is how to find out what is the right business for you. The first indicator that you are in the wrong business today is passion, or more correctly, a lack of passion for your current job or business. Do you remember when you first started your job or business.....how excited you were to be going out on your own.....and how much you enjoyed talking to customers and suppliers and fixing their problems? Where is your passion today? Do you care as much? Do you still lie awake at night thinking how to improve your product or service for your customers? If you no longer have the passion for your business that you once did, ask yourself: "What do I need to do to get back the passion I once had for my business? If you can't come up with a good answer, it is time to move on. You really don't have a choice. In today's competitive world, if you are not passionate about serving your customers, someone else who is passionate will soon appear and take away your business. Moreover, if you don't love your business, you are doing a terrible disservice to your customers and clients, your team members and business partners, your family and yourself. If you determine you are in the wrong business, put in the extra hours to bring it to the highest level you can short-term, then put it on the market and sell it. Here's another test for whether or not you are still passionate about your business. Do you experience mental conflict between your business and your personal life? Do you think about the business meeting scheduled in an hour while talking to your children? Do you think about your business when you are out with your family, or do you just "tune out from work" when you get home? If yes, this is actually a healthy sign that you are in the right business. It's making decisions between two things you love to do. If you don't have this mental conflict, something's wrong. Keep your wife and your kids--just change your business. It's actually easier than you think. I outlined how to determine if you are the right business in an article to be published next month in the October 2009 edition of Success Magazine. (Click Here for a free preview of this article). |